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Visualization - Food Production vs. Rising Temp. & CO2 Levels

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Mjolnir Page Icon Posted 2022-09-30 7:59 PM
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This is a post I made recently in another forum concerning food production, heat and 'climate change' in the U.S.
"There are legitimate concerns for food production in some areas. It will be interesting to see how the crops whose U.S. production I track, fare over the next 5 year period. Data for this year (2022) will be available in Feb. 2023. I expect there to be significant drops in some crops due to this years widespread heat and drought. Only time will tell if decreases in production are prolonged in nature.

The 5 year avg. for corn production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 14.16 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for wheat production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 1.3 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for rice production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 111.2 pounds/ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for potato production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 25.4 cwt/ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for oat production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 fell by 2.4 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for soybean production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 3.8 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for peanut production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 61 pounds/ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for sugarcane production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 1.6 tons/ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for sorghum production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 5.8 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016.

The 5 year avg. for millet production in the U.S. for the years 2017 - 2021 increased by 2.4 bu./ac. over the 5 year avg. for the years 2012 - 2016."

Edit: Sources are:
https://quickstats.nass.usda.gov/
https://downloads.usda.library.corne...r/cropan22.pdf
https://usda.library.cornell.edu/con...432s?locale=en
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/202113
https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/tr...annmean_gl.txt
https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/tr...co2_mm_mlo.txt



Edited by Mjolnir 2022-09-30 8:15 PM
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C:Amie Page Icon Posted 2022-09-30 8:59 PM
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I suspect most of the Norther hemisphere will have a bad year. With our new 40c all-time record, I could barely keep 3 raised beds alive, let alone millions of acres of parched farm land. Most of our trees are stress damaged in my town, so shallow root crops had no chance.
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Mjolnir Page Icon Posted 2022-09-30 9:12 PM
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C:Amie - 2022-09-30 8:59 PM

I suspect most of the Norther hemisphere will have a bad year. ...
Unfortunately, I'm afraid you may be spot on with that expectation.
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